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Welcome to the project website of "Sustainability Foresight.
Assessing futures of German utility sectors”
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| (Project title in German: Integrierte Mikrosysteme der
Versorgung. Dynamik, Nachhaltigkeit und Gestaltung von
Transformationsprozessen in der netzgebundenen Versorgung" |
The project addressed dynamics, sustainability and the shaping of
transformation processes in network-bound infrastructure systems with
funding by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)
as a cooperative project within the focal framework of
“social-ecological research”.
The objective was to contribute to shaping future developments in the
German utility systems: electricity, gas, water and telecommunications.
Altogether about 150 stakeholders that are concerned with utility
services and sustainability participated in the process. The approach
focused on the collective reflection of future expectations and
development of robust strategies to cope with complexity of long-term
structural change and the uncertainty that is involved.
The “sustainability foresight” method was developed to facilitate
cross-group learning about future challenges on a sector level. The
framework engaged actors from production, use and regulation of services
in explorative scenario exercises, discursive sustainability assessment
procedures and collective strategy development.
Project duration: 07/2002 - 04/2006Publications in English
“Sustainability Foresight” Method
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 Voß,
J.-P., Konrad, K.,Truffer, B. (2006): Sustainability Foresight.
Reflexive governance in the transformation of utility systems, in:
Voß, J.-P., Bauknecht, D., Kemp, R. (eds.): Reflexive governance for
sustainable development, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 162-188
- Voß,
J.-P. (2005): Sustainability Foresight: Methods for Reflexive
Governance in the Transformation of Utility Systems, in: IHDP
update, Newsletter of the International Human Dimensions Programme
on Global Environmental Change, 01/2005, S.18-20
Conceptual Framework
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Markard, J., Truffer, B. (2008). Actor-oriented analysis of
innovation systems: exploring micro-meso level linkages in the case
of stationary fuel cells Technology Analysis & Strategic Management
20 (4), 443-464
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Konrad, K., Truffer, B., Voss, J.P. (2008). Multi-regime Dynamics in
the Analysis of Sectoral Transformation Potentials. Evidence from
German utility sectors. Journal of Cleaner Production. 16, 1190-1202
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Truffer, B. (2008). Society, technology, and region: contributions
from the social study of technology to economic geography.
Environment and Planning A, 40(4) 966 – 985
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Truffer, B., Voss, J.-P., Konrad, K.,(in print): Mapping
Expectations for System Transformations. Lessons for Sustainability
Foresight in German Utility Sectors. Technological Forecasting and
Social Change.
- • Markard, J., Stadelmann, M., Truffer, B. (accepted): Analysis of
Variation in Innovation Systems - Identifying potential development
options for biogas in Switzerland, Research Policy
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Newig, J., Voß, J.-P., Monstadt, J. (2007): „Governance for
sustainable development: coping with ambivalence, uncertainty and
distributed power“. In Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning,
2007
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Voß, J.-P., Newig, J., Kastens, B., Monstadt, J., Nölting, B.
(2007): Steering for sustainable Development – A typology of
problems and theories based on ambivalence, uncertainty and
distributed power. In: Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning
9 (3/4), pp. 193-212
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Markard, J., Truffer, B. (2006). Innovation processes in large
technical systems: Market liberalization as a driver for radical
change? Research Policy 35(5): 609-625.
Empirical case studies
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Markard,
J., (2008). Prospective Analysis of Socio-Technical and
Organizational Variations: Conceptual elements and empirical
findings from the innovation system for stationary fuel cells in
Germany. In: G. Getzinger (Ed.), Yearbook 2007 of the Institute for
Advanced Studies on Science, Technology and Society, Profil-Verlag,
München/Wien
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Voß,
J.-P. (2007): Designs on Governance. Development of policy
instruments and dynamics in governance (Chapter 7 on Network Access
Regulation). PhD thesis. Enschede: University of Twente, School of
Management and Governance
- • Rothenberger, D., Truffer, B. (2004): Private Sector
Participation in Water and Sanitation Reviewed – Insights from New
Institutional Economics. In: Chenoweth, J. and Bird, J. (eds.): The
Business of Water Supply and Sustainable Development. Special Issue
of Greener Management International, S. 21-34.
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